Day-ahead Price Forecasting of Electricity Markets by a New Hybrid Forecast Method

day-ahead price forecasting of electricity markets by a new hybrid forecast method

energy price forecast is the key information for generating companies to prepare their bids in the electricity markets. however, this forecasting problem is complex due to nonlinear, non-stationary, and time variant behavior of electricity price time series. accordingly, in this paper a new strategy is proposed for electricity price forecast. the forecast strategy includes wavelet transform (wt...

Application of a New Hybrid Method for Day-Ahead Energy Price Forecasting in Iranian Electricity Market

Abstract- In a typical competitive electricity market, a large number of short-term and long-term contracts are set on basis of energy price by an Independent System Operator (ISO). Under such circumstances, accurate electricity price forecasting can play a significant role in improving the more reasonable bidding strategies adopted by the electricity market participants. So, they cannot only r...

A Hybrid Artificial Neural Network and VEPSO based on Day-ahead Price Forecasting of Electricity Markets

In this paper a new Hybrid technique of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Vector Evaluated Particle Swarm Optimization (VEPSO) is presented as a forecasting strategy for day-ahead price of electricity market. The proposed technique the proposed intelligent technique is applied to weights and bias of ANN to improve the learning capability through the minimum error. A comprehensive comparative ...

Forecasting day ahead electricity price using ARMA methods

Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Using a Hybrid Principal Component Analysis Network

Bidding competition is one of the main transaction approaches in a deregulated electricity market. Locational marginal prices (LMPs) resulting from bidding competition and system operation conditions indicate electricity values at a node or in an area. The LMP reveals important information for market participants in developing their bidding strategies. Moreover, LMP is also a vital indicator fo...

A Hybrid Multi-Step Model for Forecasting Day-Ahead Electricity Price Based on Optimization, Fuzzy Logic and Model Selection

The day-ahead electricity market is closely related to other commodity markets such as the fuel and emission markets and is increasingly playing a significant role in human life. Thus, in the electricity markets, accurate electricity price forecasting plays significant role for power producers and consumers. Although many studies developing and proposing highly accurate forecasting models exist...